CIRO requires Canadian brokers to screen prediction markets across apps

A mobile broker app displaying event contract listings, illustrating Canada's new rules on prediction market displays.
Photo by Bruno Scramgnon on Pexels

Display controls reach beyond orders

The Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) has widened its rules for dealers distributing event contracts. Published on 16 October 2026, the requirements bar sports and entertainment contracts and require brokers to suppress markets they cannot offer across Canadian client-facing channels, not only at the point of trading.

That includes search, recommendations and promotional material. Brokers also cannot send clients to restricted markets on third-party sites. CIRO says visibility could lead customers to believe a contract is authorised in Canada, so a broker connected to a US exchange needs to filter its market selection before it reaches its Canadian interface.

Permitted markets retain conditions

Some contracts linked to economic data, financial indicators and environmental measurements remain available. To qualify, their outcomes must be objectively verifiable, for example against an official statistic or a recognised market benchmark. The 30-day minimum maturity and ban on use continue under CIRO's earlier guidance. In August, CIRO had said sports and entertainment contracts fell outside the securities-regulated products it allowed dealers to offer. The latest notice makes that exclusion explicit and covers how products are shown.

The display requirement may reach marketing as well as product feeds. Wealthsimple's Predict page features illustrative prompts about an OpenAI IPO and a foldable Apple phone; those examples are not proof that the contracts can be traded, but the firm may need to assess whether they belong in Canadian promotions. As Finance Magnates reported, Interactive Brokers Canada began offering event contracts in April 2025 as the first authorised dealer in the country. Its Forecast Contracts run on ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated exchange owned by Interactive Brokers. Wealthsimple later gained authorisation to distribute selected Kalshi contracts through its separate Predict app, with a Canadian range confined to approved financial, economic and climate-related markets.

MeasureSource detail
Updated requirements16 October 2026
Minimum maturity30 days
Interactive Brokers Canada launchApril 2025
Earlier CIRO position on sports and entertainment contractsAugust

What an operations team should check

For each new contract added by ForecastEx or Kalshi, which control decides whether it can enter the Canadian product feed? Does the same eligibility decision govern search results, recommendations and promotional content, or does each channel apply separate rules? The notice does not specify how firms should implement those controls.

Teams should also check whether Canadian-facing examples, links and market descriptions can expose an unavailable contract without enabling an order. What evidence records the objective basis for an eligible outcome, and how are maturity and use restrictions enforced? Those checks cover the display rules as well as the remaining conditions on permitted markets.